Kasuwannin hannayen jari na Asiya sun fadi sosai bayan da Amurka da Iran suka musanya barazanar zubar da jini, tare da shiga mako na hudu na rikicin Iran da Isra'ila. Inda farashin nikkei na Japan ya fadi da 3.5%, yayin da aka samu faduwar kospi a Koriya ta Kudu da har zuwa 6.5%. Haka zalika, kasuwannin hannayen jari na Turai sun fara jan kafa, inda FTSE 100 na London ya bude tare da raguwa mai yawa na 1.4%.
A cikin wannan yanayin, shugaban Amurka Donald Trump ya yi gargadi cewa zai dauki matakai masu tsauri tare da Iran idan ba su bude shahararren tsakiyar Hurmuz da aka san shi da zama daya daga cikin manyan hanyoyin jigilar kaya a duniya ba. Ya tabbatar da cewa Amurka na iya kai wa ga tashoshin makamashi na Iran idan ba a magance matsalar cikin hanzari ba, a yayin da Iran ta yi alƙawarin mayar da martani idan an yi wa kowanne hari.
Bayani na Al'amuran
Iran ta sanya takunkumi kan harkokin jigilar kaya a tsakiyar Hurmuz, wanda aka dauka a matsayin daya daga cikin manyan hanyoyin samar da man fetur a duniya, tun lokacin da Amurka da Isra'ila suka kai hari a ranar 28 ga Fabrairu. An jiyo cewa kusan 20% na man fetur da iskar gas sunan hudu a duniya na wuce ta wannan hanya, wanda ya sa farashin mai ya tashi sosai a duniya.
Ahankali, shugaban hukumar makamashi ta duniya Fatih Birol ya rubuta cewa rikicin na iya haifar da annobar makamashi mafi muni da aka taba ganin ta tun shekaru aru-aru. A lokacin da yake jawabi a wajen taron manema labarai a babban birnin Australiya, ya nuna cewa wannan annoba na iya zama daidai da annobar makamashi da suka faru a shekarun 70s da kuma sakamakon mamayar Rasha a Ukraine a shekarar 2022.
Asali da Mahimmanci
Sabbin ci gaban da suka faru a wannan rikici na da tarihin dogon zare tare da damuwa tsakanin Iran da Amurka, wanda ke bayyana asalin sa tun daga juyin juya halin Islama na Iran a shekarar 1979. Tun daga wannan lokacin, Amurka ta dauki matakai masu tsauri tare da Iran, musamman saboda shirin nukiliyar ta da ayyukan ta na yanki.
Da ci gaba da tsananta al'amura, rikicin Amurka da Iran yana tasiri kai tsaye ga kasashe da yawa, musamman wadanda ke dogaro da makamashi daga yankin Gulf, ciki har da Japan da Koriya ta Kudu, wanda ya tilasta kashe kasashe su sake duba dabarun makamashinsu.
Tasiri da Sakamako
Kasuwannin duniya, farashin mai ya tashi cikin gaggawa, yayin da aka samu karuwar farashin mai na Brent sama da 1% tare da samun kyautar 113.40 dalar Amurka ga kowanne barrel, yayin da farashin mai na Amurka ya sama da 2% ya kai 100.50 dalar Amurka.
Hakan na kawo fargaba akan tasirin tashin farashin mai wanda hakan na iya haifar da mummunar annobar hauhawar farashi a kasashe da dama, musamman a Birtaniya, inda firayim ministan Birtaniya Keir Starmer ya gudanar da tattaunawa da Trump akan bukatar bude tsakiyar Hurmuz.
Tasirin Lardin Larabawa
Ga kasashen Larabawa, mummunan halin tsaro a tsakiyar Hurmuz yana bayyana azaman barazana ta kai tsaye ga bukatun tattalin arzikin su. Kasashen Gulf, wadanda ake dauka a matsayin manyan masana'antu na makamashi, suna cikin halin da ya zama dole don tabbatar da fitarwa a cikin yanayin rashin tsaro da tasirin damuwar soja ta haifar.
Mai kyau cewa tsananta yaki a cikin yanki na iya kara matsin lamba ga tattalin arzikin Larabawan, wanda ke bukatar hada kai da aiki kan dabarun kasuwancin makamashi na daban.