Farashin man fetur na duniya ya karu sosai inda farashin Brent crude ya wuce dala 115 a kowanne barrell, a farkon safiyar ranar Litinin, wanda ke nuna karuwar tashin hankali a cikin rikicin tsakanin Amurka, Isra'ila, da Iran. Wannan karuwar ta biyo bayan harin da 'yan tawayen Houthi masu goyon bayan Iran suka kai kan Isra'ila a lokacin hutu na karshen mako, wanda ya kara tsananta matsalolin a yankin.
A lokaci guda, kasuwar hannayen jari a Asiya ta fuskanci raguwar gaske, inda Nikkei 225 na Japan ya ragu da kashi 4.5%, yayin da KOSPI na Koriya ta Kudu ya ragu da kashi 4%. Wannan motsi yana nuna damuwa mai karuwa daga masu zuba jari game da tabbataccen kasuwa a cikin yanayin karuwar rikicin.
Bayani kan Abin da Ya Faru
Farashin Brent crude ya tashi da kashi fiye da 3% har ya kai dala 115 a kowanne barrell, yayin da farashin man fetur a Amurka ya tashi zuwa dala 103 bayan karuwa da kashi 3.5%. Wannan karuwar na nuni da cewa Brent crude na kan hanyar samun mafi girman riba a cikin wata.
Wannan ci gaban ya zo ne a lokacin da tsohon shugaban Amurka, Donald Trump, ya yi gargadi game da yiwuwar mallakar filayen man fetur na Iran, yana mai cewa Amurka na iya daukar man daga Iran, wani furuci da ke haifar da damuwa game da yiwuwar karuwar rikicin. Haka kuma, Trump ya ambaci yiwuwar mallakar tsibirin Kharak, wanda shine cibiyar man fetur na Iran, wanda ke nuna niyyar Amurka a yankin.
Asali da Hali na Yanzu
Historically, yankin Gabas ta Tsakiya ya kasance cibiyar rikice-rikicen siyasa da na soja, inda Iran ke taka muhimmiyar rawa a cikin yawancin rikice-rikice. Tun daga dade, dangantakar tsakanin Iran da Amurka ta kasance mai cike da tashin hankali, musamman bayan ficewar Amurka daga yarjejeniyar nukiliya ta Iran a shekarar 2018. Wannan tashin hankali ya karu tare da karuwar ayyukan sojan Iran a yankin, ciki har da goyon bayan 'yan tawayen Houthi a Yemen.
A cikin makonnin da suka gabata, yankin ya fuskanci karuwar hare-hare tsakanin Iran da Amurka da Isra'ila, wanda ya haifar da rashin tabbas a kasuwannin man fetur na duniya. Masu ruwa da tsaki daga Iran sun yi gargadi cewa kowanne hari da aka kai kan kasarsu zai fuskanci martani mai karfi, wanda ke kara tsananta damuwa game da yiwuwar karuwar tashin hankali na soja.
Tasirin da Hakan Zai Haifar
Karuwar farashin man fetur na zama sakamakon kai tsaye na karuwar tashin hankali a yankin, inda kowanne karuwar rikici na iya haifar da katse jigilar man fetur ta hanyar Hormuz Strait, wanda shine hanya mai muhimmanci ga kasuwancin man fetur na duniya. Idan wannan yanayin ya ci gaba, za mu iya fuskantar karin karuwar farashin man fetur, wanda zai shafi tattalin arzikin duniya da kuma kara farashin makamashi.
Haka kuma, kasuwannin kudi suna shafar wannan lamari sosai, inda masu zuba jari ke komawa ga kadarorin da suka fi tsaro a cikin yanayin rashin tabbas. Wannan juyin na iya haifar da raguwar zuba jari a kasuwannin da ke tasowa, wanda zai shafi ci gaban tattalin arziki a wadannan kasashe.
Tasirin a Yankin Larabawa
Wannan lamari na yanzu yana shafar kasashen Larabawa kai tsaye, inda yawancin wadannan kasashe ke dogaro da fitar da man fetur a matsayin babban tushen kudaden shiga. Karuwar farashin man fetur na iya zama da tasiri mai kyau ga kasafin kudi na wasu kasashen man fetur, amma a lokaci guda, na iya haifar da karuwar tashin hankali na siyasa da tattalin arziki a yankin.
Haka zalika, karuwar rikici a Gabas ta Tsakiya na iya haifar da yawaitar 'yan gudun hijira da karuwar tashin hankali na kabilanci, wanda ke barazanar tabbataccen zaman lafiya a kasashen makwabta. Yana da mahimmanci ga kasashen Larabawa su kasance masu lura da kuma aiki tare don inganta hadin gwiwar yankin don fuskantar wadannan kalubale.