Farashin man fetur ya fuskanci sauye-sauye masu tsanani ranar Litinin, inda farashin man ya yi tashe tsakanin mai saye da mai sayarwa a kasuwar tsakanin damuwa na sabuwar tashin hankali a yankin gabashin tsakiyar duniya. Wannan sauye-sauyen na zuwa ne bayan barazanar shugaban Amurka, Donald Trump, ga Iran da cewa zai iya lalata hanyoyin su na samar da makamashi idan ba su bude ruwan Hormuz cikin awanni 48 ba. Hakan ya janyo gaggawar cinikayya a kasuwar man, yayin da lokaci ya kusa kammala wa'adin da aka sanya, wanda ya sanya masu zuba jari cikin yanayi mai cike da fargaba.
Farashin man Brent ya karu da kaso 0.23% zuwa 112.42 dalar Amurka a kowace kwalba, yayin da man West Texas Intermediate na Amurka ya karu da kaso 0.28% ya kai 98.51 dalar a kowace kwalba. Wannan karin farashin ya biyo bayan hasashen masu bincike daga bankin Goldman Sachs wadanda suka inganta hasashen farashin man, suna mai cewa man Brent zai iya kai 110 daloli a watan Maris da Afrilu.
Tattaunawa kan abu
Tashin hankali tsakanin Amurka da Iran ya karu sosai a 'yan kwanakin da suka gabata, lokacin da ayyukan Ali Khamenei, wanda ya rufe ruwan Hormuz don dakile zirga-zirgar jigilan kaya, suka kara neman haske game da tasirin rikicin da ke gudana a wannan yanki kan kasuwar man duniya. Ruwan Hormuz na da muhimmanci sosai, inda kusan 20% na haraji kan man duniya ke wucewa, wanda hakan ke kara bayyana muhimmancin hakikanin tabbatar da kwanciyar hankali a wannan yanki.
Iran ta mayar da martani ga barazanar Trump ta hanyar gargadin cewa kowanne harin da aka kai ga hanyoyin samar da makamashinsu zai haifar da rushewar tashoshin samar da wutar lantarki a cikin gobe. Wannan barazana ta kara jaddada tasirin da kasuwannin suka fuskanta, inda masanan suka bayyana cewa ci gaba da rufewar ruwan Hormuz na iya kaiwa ga farashin man cikin sabon tarihin kasancewarsu, wanda zai shafi tattalin arzikin kasashen da suke amfani da man.
Kafin da Bayani
Tarihin kasuwar man duniya na dauke da jerin kalubalensa sakamakon tashin hankali na jiyo-geopolitics a gabashin tsakiyar duniya. Matsalar yanzu ba sabuwa bace, duk da haka Salwarsa ta shaharar sab afetar da ke gaban kasuwanni a kan daman muhawara da yakin neman kura. Hadarin da ya faru tsakanin Amurka da Iran yana sake tunawa da wasu matsaloli na baya kamar na man a shekarun 1970, wanda ya jawo kukan kasuwannin da suka fuskanci manyan kalubale saboda rigingimu da kasuwar waje mai tarin gazawa.
Iran ta rufe ruwan Hormuz sakamakon hare-haren Isra'ila da Amurka akan ginin su, wanda ya kara jaddada damuwa game da hanyoyin samar da man na duniya. Wannan rufewar na nuna karuwar tashin hankali ga tsaron yankin kuma yana ta da tambayoyi kan martanin manyan kasashe da rawar da za su taka a dawo da hanyoyin sufuri na ruwa da ke da muhimmanci.
Illoli & Tasiri
Barazanar shugaban Amurka, Trump, na zuwa a wani lokaci mai matukar damuwa ga kasuwar man fetur, yayin da masu saka hannun jari ke sauraran kowanne mataki da zai iya sauya tsarin farashin man. Haka zalika, Fatih Birol, shugaban hukumar makamashi ta duniya, ya gargadi cewa yanayin a gabashin tsakiyar duniya yanzu yana da tsanani fiye da duk wata matsala ta man da muka taba fuskanta a shekaru goma da suka gabata.
Idan aka ci gaba da rufewar ruwan Hormuz, akwai yiwuwar farashin Brent zai zarce matakan tarihi da aka samu a shekarar 2008 wadda ta kai 147 dalar a kowace kwalba. A halin yanzu, hukumar makamashi ta duniya ta ba da shawarar fitar da 400 miliyan kwalban man daga ajiya mai mahimmanci don magance wannan rashin wadatar, wanda ke nuna karuwar damuwa a kasuwannin duniya.
Mahimmancin Yankin
Wannan tashin hankali na tasiri kai tsaye ga kasashen Larabawa masu samar da man, ko daga bangaren kudaden shigar man ko zuba jari daga kasashen waje. Haka kuma, karuwar farashi na iya shafar tattalin arzikin duniya a lokaci guda, wanda ke kara mika damuwa na hauhawar farashi a duk fadin duniya, musamman a kasashen da suka dogara sosai akan shigo da man.
Haka kuma, ci gaban tashin hankali na iya haifar da rikicin soja kai tsaye, wanda zai iya zama barazana ga tsaron yankin, gida abinda ke bukatar gaggawar matakin diplomasiyya.