Retired U.S. General Frank McKenzie, the former commander of U.S. Central Command, revealed the existence of detailed American military plans for intervention in Iran, which have been prepared for years. These plans include scenarios for limited ground intervention aimed at seizing strategic locations, such as the Strait of Hormuz, as part of a strategy to counter any potential escalation from Tehran.
This revelation came during an interview with CBC News, where McKenzie emphasized that current military operations are not random but are part of a "plan that has been in place for years" aimed at reducing Iran's capabilities to threaten navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.
Details of the Military Strategy
McKenzie explained that the current American strategy focuses on establishing permanent air superiority over southern Iran, along with conducting intensive surveillance and targeting operations against short-range missile sites and drones, which pose a major threat to shipping in the region. He noted that these operations aim to weaken Tehran's capabilities to a "very low level," paving the way for more advanced operations that include probing for potential naval mines in the strait.
He added, "We are not sure if they have already planted mines, but it is expected that they will eventually do so, which aligns with their behavior." McKenzie confirmed that the U.S. military is not surprised by the possibility of closing the Strait of Hormuz, as this hypothesis has always been part of military calculations, including the islands and vital sites along Iran's southern coast.
Background & Context
The roots of tensions between the United States and Iran date back decades, with a notable escalation in relations since Washington's withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear agreement in 2018. Since then, the U.S. has taken multiple steps to enhance its military presence in the region, increasing tensions with Tehran.
The Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of the world's oil passes, is a vital strategic point, making control over it a fundamental part of the American strategy to counter Iranian threats. Recent events, such as attacks on oil tankers, have highlighted the importance of this waterway in the regional conflict.
Impact & Consequences
The American plans include operational options along the Iranian coast, including conducting landings to seize islands or small bases. McKenzie explained that these operations are often temporary raids that involve a planned withdrawal, but they could, in some cases, evolve into extended control over specific sites.
He cited the example of Kharq Island, which is a vital artery for Iranian oil exports, noting that seizing it could lead to "crippling the entire Iranian oil economy," allowing it to be used later as a bargaining chip. He asserted that such a move would be "extremely humiliating for Iran" and would grant Washington significant leverage in any future negotiations.
Regional Significance
These developments are of great importance to the Arab region, as any military escalation in Iran could have far-reaching implications for regional security. The ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran could affect the stability of the Gulf Arab states and exacerbate conflicts in the region.
In closing, McKenzie noted that Iran "will eventually respond" to the use of force, considering that Tehran has become more aware of the nature of American deterrence than before. He also confirmed that the current U.S. administration is more prepared to use force compared to its predecessors, indicating a potential shift in the rules of engagement between the two parties.