Israeli writer Gideon Levy warns that a potential war with Iran could erode American support for Israel, presenting unprecedented existential challenges. In an opinion piece published in Haaretz, Levy notes that the effects of this war will not be limited to the military field but may reach one of the most important pillars of Israeli politics: the unconditional relationship with the United States.
Levy believes that this relationship has surpassed the boundaries of a traditional alliance, becoming a dysfunctional formula entrenched over the years, where the United States continued to support Israel politically, militarily, and financially, even amid its public condemnation of settlement expansion, annexation, and wars in Gaza and Lebanon.
Event Details
Despite American support, this has not prevented the continuation of apartheid and massacres, without Israel paying a price that deters it or compels it to reconsider its policies. Levy argues that this American cover has not been merely external support but a condition that has allowed Israel to pursue its policies without genuine concern for international law or global public opinion.
However, a war with Iran could become a turning point if it turns into a quagmire with no clear exit in the eyes of Washington. In this case, Levy expects the United States to begin holding Israel accountable for its involvement and consequences, which could open the door to a broader wave of international accountability.
Background & Context
Historically, the relationship between the United States and Israel has been central to Israeli politics, as the United States has helped Israel face security challenges. But as tensions in the region escalate, this dynamic may change. Levy points out that there are sectors of American public opinion, including Jewish circles, that may begin to reassess this relationship.
This potential change could represent a glimmer of hope, as an unconditional disengagement from Washington might be the only shock capable of forcing Israel to confront the realities it has long evaded, such as occupation and apartheid.
Impact & Consequences
If Israel loses its American umbrella, it will find itself at an existential crossroads. It will face two options: either a radical change in its policies or entering into isolation that threatens its image and status, and perhaps even its ability to continue in its current form. This isolation could affect its ability to interact with the international community, increasing its political and economic isolation.
The repercussions of this scenario could be far-reaching, potentially leading to changes in regional balances and opening the door for new powers in the region to enhance their influence.
Regional Significance
For the Arab world, the erosion of American support for Israel could alter the dynamics of the Arab-Israeli conflict. This may strengthen Palestinian and Arab positions against Israeli policies and increase opportunities for dialogue and negotiation on peace issues.
In conclusion, Levy indicates that a war with Iran could be a turning point in international relations, forcing Israel to reassess its strategies, which could lead to radical changes in the region.